Tom Brady and Daniel Jones will lead their respective teams into a primetime showdown on Monday Night Football to close out Week 11. Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are leading the NFC South standings with a 6-3 record and 4-0 mark in their home stadium. Tampa Bay lost its last two games, however, and the Giants enter with improved recent play. New York is 2-1 in the last three games, and the Giants have the rest advantage after a bye in Week 10.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Tampa Bay. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Buccaneers as 11-point favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50 in the latest Giants vs. Buccaneers odds. Before you make any Buccaneers vs. Giants picks and NFL predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has to say.
White, a CBS Sports fantasy and gambling editor, ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. It’s no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world’s most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest.
In addition, White has gone an astounding 28-15 on his last 43 picks involving the Giants, returning more than $1,100. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
- Giants vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -11
- Giants vs. Buccaneers over-under: 50 points
- Giants vs. Buccaneers money line: Buccaneers -550, Giants +400
- NYG: Giants are 5-4 against the spread this season
- TB: Buccaneers are 3-6 against the spread in 2021
Why the Giants can cover
Daniel Jones is a true dual-threat at quarterback, generating more than 2,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season, and he is leading the team with 5.2 yards per carry on the ground. On the outside, New York is getting healthier, with Kenny Golladay posing a threat and talented rookie Kadarius Toney generating 352 receiving yards in seven games. Tampa Bay is just No. 22 in the NFL in pass defense this season, and only a handful of teams have allowed more passing touchdowns (17) than the Buccaneers.
With that offensive recipe as potentially successful, the Giants can also lean on a defense that has been excellent lately. New York has allowed only 39 points combined in the last three games, and the Giants are opportunistic in forcing a turnover on 14.7 percent of defensive possessions across the entire 2021 season.
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Tampa Bay is a strong defensive team, ranking in the top 10 in total defense, but the Buccaneers make their biggest gains on offense. Led by Tom Brady, the Buccaneers are No. 3 in scoring offense (31.0 points per game) and total offense (406.4 yards per game). Tampa Bay leads the league in passing offense, averaging more than 315 yards per game, and the Bucs are also No. 1 with 27 touchdown passes.
The Buccaneers are scoring on 43.6 percent of offensive possessions, and no team has allowed fewer sacks than Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are No. 3 in the league in third down efficiency at 48.2 percent, and Tampa Bay is a top-10 team in red zone efficiency at 65.0 percent. Given New York is No. 25 in total defense, there is every reason to project some level of success for Tampa Bay’s offensive attack in this game.
How to make Giants vs. Buccaneers picks
White has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning under the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Giants on Monday Night Football? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see White’s Buccaneers vs. Giants picks, all from the NFL expert who’s 28-15 on picks involving New York, and find out.